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OXFORD, Mississippi (CNN) – Spending on political television advertising this campaign cycle exceeded $1 billion this week, and is on pace to reach $3 billion by Election Day.

The bulk of the money spent since the midterm elections – $425 million – has been spent by the White House hopefuls since the first presidential campaign ad appeared in December 2006, according to an analysis by TNSMI/Campaign Media Analysis Group for CNN.

With 39 days remaining before voters head to polls, Barack Obama and John McCain are each spending $3 million a day on political ads, which are running in a dozen or so battleground states and nationwide. When spending by down-ballot candidates, independent interest groups, and political parties is factored in, political ad spending per day for the past week averages $7.5 million.

“For all the talk about the new media’s influence, TV advertising is still the weapon of choice for candidates running for dog catcher all the way up to president of the United States,” said Evan Tracey, CMAG’s chief operating officer and CNN’s consultant on political ad spending.

Tracey noted that in the 2000 presidential election $1 billion in total was spent on all political ads. Ad spending rose to $1.7 billion in 2004, and jumped to $2.4 billion in 2006.

“Historically, 70 percent of the total amount spent on TV is in the last five weeks,” Tracey said. “This means airwaves all around the country will become predominately dominated by candidates, interest groups and political parties promoting their positions and attacking opponents.


Obama fights "Swift Boat"
ads by McCain


McCain, Obama ad wars heat up
Friday Aug. 15                CNN

WASHINGTON (CNN) -- One week after Sen. Barack Obama's campaign released a
tough Ohio radio ad that said Sen. John McCain and his campaign manager, Rick Davis,
were partly responsible for the potential loss of thousands of jobs in the state, the
presumptive Democratic nominee launched a TV spot Friday that makes the same charge.
 

Obama's campaign released another ad blaming McCain for the potential loss of Ohio jobs.

Obama's campaign released another ad blaming McCain for the potential loss of Ohio jobs.

Shipping company DHL is considering moves that would result in the loss of 8,000 jobs in Wilmington, Ohio. McCain visited the town last Thursday, as workers continued to protest the proposed cuts.

"If DHL -- if something happens -- it's going to be like a ghost town,"
says local resident Chris Fisher in the 30-second spot.

Morrow, Ohio, resident Ed Rutherford tells viewers, "I thought I was doing a good job
providing for my family. And to have that taken away ..." He adds, "it's tough times.
When it's a foreign entity coming in and sucker-punching us. That's how this felt."

"In Washington, John McCain helped pave the way for foreign-owned DHL to take over
an American shipping company," the announcer says. "McCain's campaign manager was lead lobbyist for the deal. Now, thousands of Ohio jobs at risk."

The McCain camp quickly distributed excerpts of a report criticizing the Obama claims. "FactCheck.org just released a report calling Obama's recent ads accusing John McCain
of costing Ohio jobs 'false,' 'misleading' and 'unsubstantiated,' " McCain spokesman
Brian Rogers said.

"It's now clear that the Obama campaign's attack on John McCain and the DHL issue --
which Obama campaign manager David Plouffe called 'the most important development
in the campaign' -- is based on a lie."

The Obama radio ad, timed to coincide with McCain's visit and an AFL-CIO flier sent to
100,000 Ohio union households, made the same claims.

McCain's campaign, meanwhile, launched an ad Thursday that sharply criticizes Obama's tax policies.

The ad, which continues the effort to paint the Illinois senator as a mere celebrity, says
Obama's tax policies will lead to an "economic disaster."

"Obama's new taxes could break your family budget," the announcer says. "Higher taxes.
Higher gas prices. Economic disaster."

The campaign says the 30-second spot, called Taxman, will air in "key states."

Obama has proposed cutting taxes on middle-income Americans while raising those for families earning more than $250,000. Writing in the Wall Street Journal on Thursday, Obama economic advisers Jason Furman and Austan Goolsbee defended his proposals.

"Sen. Obama believes a focus on the middle class is appropriate in the wake of the first
economic expansion on record where the typical family's income fell by almost $1,000,"
Furman and Goolsbee wrote.

McCain has proposed extending President Bush's tax cuts, including those of high-income
earners.

The Democratic National Committee is also taking on John McCain in a Web video calling
 into question his reputation as a campaign finance reformer and a maverick who stands
outside the inner circles of political dealings in the nation's capital.

The online video accuses McCain of "cozying up" to the "cronies" of disgraced lobbyist
Jack Abramoff, who pleaded guilty in 2006 to federal charges of fraud, tax evasion and
conspiracy to bribe public officials.

The video takes issue with McCain's fundraising ties to Ralph Reed, a former business
partner of Abramoff's.

"While most people now see Ralph Reed as a tainted man raising tainted money,
John McCain sees him as a source of campaign cash," a narrator says.

Reed recently sent out an e-mail that urged Republicans in Georgia to attend a Republican
National Committee fundraiser for McCain, scheduled for Monday in Atlanta.

The Democratic National Committee said Rep. Henry Waxman, D-California, will call
for McCain to cancel the fundraiser.

# # #
 

What Obama Can Teach You
About Millennial Marketing

Consistent Mass Branding Works -- but Can Backfire With Other Demographics

NEW YORK (AdAge.com) -- Baby boomers and Gen Xers declared mass marketing dead long ago. We live in a world of fragmented media surrounded by cynical consumers who can spot and block an ad message from a mile away. But what Gen Xers and boomers may not realize is that the unabashed embrace of select brands by millennials, from technology to beverages to fashion, has made this decade a true golden era of marketing for those who know what they're doing. And when it comes to marketing, the Barack Obama campaign knows what it's doing.
Millennials with Obama poster
Photo: Tony Pettinato


Mr. Obama's brand management, unprecedented in presidential politics, shows pitch-perfect understanding of the keys to appealing to the youngest voters.

Perhaps inevitably, among the first apps introduced for Apple's new iPhone -- the latest success from another millennial mass marketer -- was an Obama "Countdown to Change" calendar that ticks off the seconds until Election Day.

So what's the appeal to the under-30 set? True, the youth vote traditionally skews Democratic, but the difference this year is that Mr. Obama has actually motivated turnout. His success, it seems, is a result of both product and the branding behind it. The qualities he projects -- a cool, smooth aura, the communal values of hope and unity, his teeming crowds and his campaign's seamless graphics -- are the essence of appealing to millennials.

"Millennials want someone smart, funny and with a slight edge," observes Allison Mooney, who tracks youth trends for Fleishman-Hillard's Next Great Thing. Mr. Obama's occasional prickly moments, as when he dismissed Mr. McCain's recent ad comparing him to Paris Hilton -- "Is this the best you can do?" -- shows them he gets it. "Obama's kind of mellow. He doesn't have polarizing views."

On-message
Neil Howe agrees. Mr. Howe -- co-author with the late William Strauss of "Generations" (1991) and "Millennials Rising" (2001), which christened the generation -- said that Mr. Obama "has a certain coolness, detachment and a slight formality. He never loses his temper."

Then there's the messaging. Mr. Obama sticks very well to his script, said Mr. Howe.

And that hasn't gone unnoticed in most quarters. Wrote Newsweek's Andrew Romano, "Obama is the first presidential candidate to be marketed like a high-end consumer brand." His rising-sun logo echoes the one-world iconography of Pepsi, AT&T and Apple.

Design guru Michael Bierut told Romano that the stand-alone logo, consistent use of the Gotham typeface ("very American ... conversational and pleasant") and his online look and feel make Mr. Obama the first candidate with a "coherent, top-to-bottom, 360-degree system at work. ... There's an absolute level of control that I have trouble achieving with my corporate clients."

Mr. Obama's packaging might discomfit older generations, who may think of themselves as immune to mass marketing. But it is "no problem" for millennials, whom Mr. Howe sees as averse to chaos and unpredictability (a trouble spot for both the Hillary Clinton and John McCain campaigns), and are "very comfortable with a very smooth brand that has minimal turmoil."

Communal, pro-social
According to Mr. Howe, Gen Xers required niche marketing: "If too many people liked something, it wasn't cool." But mass brand experiences, from the iPod to Harry Potter, appeal strongly to millennials, who have been shown to be a more communal, pro-social generation than their predecessors.

While critics see Mr. Obama's penchant for mass gatherings as arrogant, Mr. Howe finds it perfect for millennials: "They're more civically connected, and they find strength in numbers."

According to Fleishman-Hillard's Ms. Mooney, the Obama campaign's mastery of cutting-edge social media, through the my.barackobama.com site (known internally as "MYBO"), is optimized for millennial appeal. For this generation, "the new pronoun is me, my. Using my-dot brings it to a personal level."

The MYBO site shows that Mr. Obama's campaign has made the leap from CRM (customer relationship management) to CMR (customer-managed relationship) better than many commercial marketers, according to Ms. Mooney. "Young people want to be in control of their relationship with a brand. They want to customize and personalize," as they can on iTunes, Mobile Me and YouLocate. The campaign's site allows this with its use of tagging, discussion boards, photo uploads and other interactive elements.

Of course, most young people will never find their way to the Obama site. But, as with commercial brands, those that do will be Mr. Obama's "passionistas" -- his power users and brand ambassadors.

Generational divide
Gen Xers and boomers may have assumed that today's youth are as anti-marketing as they once were; millennials' mass adoption of Mr. Obama's brand may puzzle or alienate them. After a video featuring celebrities like the Black-Eyed Peas' will.i.am and actress Scarlett Johansson crooning along with an Obama speech went viral last winter, a response mocking the mass Obama phenomenon was posted to YouTube, set to "Building a Religion" by quintessential Gen-X band Cake.

Pete Markiewicz, co-author with Mr. Strauss and Mr. Howe of "Millennials and the Pop Culture," said Gen Xer cynics Jon Stewart and Stephen Colbert often lampoon the Obama campaign's messianic tendencies. Said Mr. Markiewicz, "Both Colbert and Stewart are liberal, but the worship of Obama sticks in their Xer craws."

John McCain's early-August success in erasing Mr. Obama's lead, with a campaign that directly attacks the Obama brand by mocking his celebrity status, shows that branding can cut both ways.

Which is not to say that Mr. Obama lacks appeal to voters ages 25 to 55. Polls generally show him beating Mr. McCain among voters under 60. And boomers, even if skeptical of mass-branding campaigns, may find the outpouring of youth supporting Mr. Obama reminiscent of their own experiences in the 60s.

But Mr. Howe believes Mr. Obama's appeal to Xers and boomers is "based on an older image of what the Democratic Party means" -- agreement with Mr. Obama on issues ranging from Iraq to the environment. Middle-aged voters may end up supporting Mr. Obama despite his branding campaign, rather than because of it.

Rock the vote
Because young people vote in such low numbers, some strategists question the wisdom of Mr. Obama's emphasis on appealing to them. But this year, Mr. Obama may have more success bringing new voters to the polls than in converting an ever-shrinking pool of undecided voters.

Citing surveys showing a rising percentage of young voters intending to take part this year, the Washington Post's E.J. Dionne believes the youth vote can be decisive for Mr. Obama in November.

A July 27 Gallup Poll shows both the dilemma for Mr. Obama and the opportunity: Among all registered voters, Mr. Obama led by three points. When the sample was reduced to an older-skewing pool of likely voters only, Mr. McCain led by four. If Mr. Obama can mobilize a fresh source of votes from the normally low-turnout millennials, while making sure to maintain sufficient appeal to older generations, his brand strategy may turn out to be decisive.

# # #

 

International Poll:
World Prefers Obama vs. Mc Cain Brand

The World Weighs in on U.S. Presidential
Candidates Brand Images

by Susan Gunelius on June 15th, 2008

# # #

 

2008 Presidential Election:
Let the Personal Branding Attacks Begin

by Susan Gunelius on February 21st, 2008

# # #

 


Obama wins
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in-game advertising

Political Advertising:
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ABC News
Washington Post Poll:
Oct. 13, 2008

Obama 53%
McCain 43%


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